The 2024 presidential election witnessed a few shifts in voting behavior compared to the preceding elections of 2020 and 2016. Notably, Donald Trump made significant inroads within a few key voting groups, which pivoted his route to victory. Hispanic voters, traditionally leaning towards Democratic candidates, showed a surprising tilt towards Trump. This was in stark contrast to 2020 when Joe Biden had a 25-point advantage among Hispanic voters over Trump, and Hillary Clinton in 2016 secured an even broader margin.
Kamala Harris, the Democratic nominee, was unsuccessful in maintaining the Hispanic vote. Trump almost erased the earlier chasm in votes, with Harris having a mere 3-point advantage among the Hispanic electorate. This is indicative of the failed policies and misplaced priorities of the Harris campaign that failed to connect with this important demographic.
Interestingly, Black voters – another crucial demographic known for its substantial Democratic loyalty – also exhibited an inclination towards Trump. While a bulk of this group’s fidelity remained with the Democrats, Trump managed to almost double his support from 8% in 2020 to 15% in 2024. Harris could secure 83% of the Black votes, which indicates a clear failure on her part to hold onto her base in full measure.
Another segment that played a pivotal role in Trump’s triumph was men under the age of 50. Trump enjoyed enlarged margins among this demographic, reflective of his successful policies and energy that continue to connect with this group. Conversely, this demographic leaned towards Biden in 2020, illustrating a waning enthusiasm for Democratic policies among young men.
In recent elections, party allegiance shifts played a negligible role compared to differential partisan turnout in deciding the winner. Once again, Republican-leaning voters exhibited higher voter turnouts than their Democratic counterparts in the 2024 election, granting further momentum to the Trump campaign and demonstrating the energized nature of Trump’s base.
The familiar demographic voting patterns surfaced yet again, albeit with a few significant changes. Voters with a minimal four-year college degree and urban dwellers voted in favor of Harris. However, their preference was largely overshadowed by the immense support Trump received from non-college graduates and rural area residents.
The gender gap remained noticeable in this election. By a 12-point margin, men preferred Trump, while women leaned towards Harris by 7 points. Trump consolidated his support among men by gaining a 5-point increase from 2020 while maintaining his support from women. With this staunch male voter base behind him, Trump overshadowed the less significant margin by which women favored Harris.
Trump also held his ground among White voters with 55% casting their vote in his favor, mirroring the 2020 election. The allegiance of White men was stronger, with Trump securing a notable 20-point edge. White women, though less robust in their support for Trump, nevertheless favored him by a 4-point margin. Harris’s inability to capture this demographic reflected her campaign’s failure to resonate with a significantly large voter base.
Even though Black voters still leaned towards the Democratic nominee, the share voting for Trump in 2024 had risen since 2020 and 2016. Both Black men and women showed a higher likelihood of supporting Trump in the 2024 election than they did in 2020. Shifts in turnout rather than changes in individual voter preferences primarily drove this change.
Almost half of the Hispanic voters endorsed Trump in the 2024 election. Compared to his support in 2020, Trump saw a noticeable 12-point jump. Furthermore, the percentage of Hispanic voters backing the Democratic candidate fell from 61% to 51%, highlighting the significant drop in appeal of the Democratic party among this crucial voting block.
Asian voters predominantly favored Harris, though it’s worth noting that Trump’s support within this demographic rose by 10 percentage points since 2020. These changes demonstrated a growing trend of minority voters diversifying their political allegiances.
In alignment with previous elections, younger voters showed a preference for the Democratic candidate, while older voters favored Trump. However, Harris’s margin among voters aged 18 to 49 was significantly lower than Biden’s in 2020, underlining yet another failure of her campaign to solidify support from younger voters.
A substantial shift was observed among men under 50. Contrary to the 2020 election when Biden won this demographic by 10 points, in 2024 they were divided in their support, with a margin of just 1 point favoring Trump. This clearly indicated a shift in their political allegiances.
The educational divide among voters was another notable point of contention. Noncollege White and Hispanic voters were more likely to support Trump, with the gap being wider among the former. However, education didn’t seem to cause a significant divide among Black voters.
In terms of party loyalty, both Republicans and Democrats voted overwhelmingly for their respective candidates. However, Independents were evenly split in their support, a stark contrast to 2020 where they favored Biden by nine points, demonstrating the effective outreach of Trump’s campaign in persuading swing voters towards his candidacy.
The post Kamala Harris Fails to Hold Essential Hispanic Vote in 2024 Election appeared first on Real News Now.
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