Bill Gates is walking back years of climate panic.
In a surprising memo released Tuesday titled “Three Tough Truths About Climate,” the Microsoft co-founder admitted that climate change, while serious, is not the existential threat he and others once claimed. The billionaire technocrat now says the apocalyptic narrative surrounding global warming has been overblown and that the focus should shift toward improving human life—especially in the world’s poorest countries.
“Although climate change will have serious consequences—particularly for people in the poorest countries—it will not lead to humanity’s demise,” Gates wrote.
He emphasized that climate, disease, and poverty all matter, but they should be prioritized based on “the suffering they cause.” The tone of Gates’ memo marks a major shift from his prior warnings that framed climate change as an urgent and dominant global threat.
Gates even admitted that emissions and temperature should no longer be the key metrics. “This is a chance to refocus on the metric that should count even more than emissions and temperature change: improving lives,” he wrote.
The 17-page memo, which comes ahead of the United Nations climate summit next month in Brazil, argues that climate change is taking up too much of the global attention and budget. Gates now believes funding should be redirected to areas with a more direct impact on human well-being.
“Although climate change will hurt poor people more than anyone else, for the vast majority of them it will not be the only or even the biggest threat to their lives and welfare,” he added.
His remarks come after years of aggressive climate evangelism, where Gates called for drastic changes to meat consumption, transportation, and industrial energy use to curb emissions. He has purchased large tracts of farmland and invested heavily in synthetic meat and green technologies—moves critics say are tied to attempts to control food production and push central planning under the guise of sustainability.
Now, Gates is urging moderation. He told reporters, “If you think climate is not important, you won’t agree with the memo. If you think climate is the only cause and apocalyptic, you won’t agree with the memo.”
He positioned himself as a pragmatist simply trying to stretch donor dollars more effectively—particularly in regions where malaria, hunger, and war pose more immediate threats than global temperature trends.
Gates stopped short of saying the climate change movement has failed, but his new message is clear: climate doom should not dominate public discourse or dictate global policy.
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