President Donald Trump admitted in an interview that Republicans may struggle to retain control of the House in next year’s midterm elections.
“We’ll see what happens. We should win. But, you know, statistically, it’s very tough to win. Yeah, it doesn’t make sense,” Trump told the Wall Street Journal. “All we’re going to do is, we’re going to try our best to win.”
Historically, the party that controls the White House tends to lose seats in the House during the midterms. With Republicans holding only a narrow majority, most analysts say Democrats have a good shot at regaining control.
Since World War II, only two presidents have seen their party gain seats in the House during a midterm cycle.
Trump has launched a pressure campaign to push red-state legislatures to redraw congressional maps in the middle of the decade—something that’s rarely done—to give the GOP more favorable districts. So far, many analysts believe those efforts have been a wash, but Trump continues to apply pressure to states like Indiana.
A key factor still looming over the 2026 elections is an upcoming Supreme Court decision on Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act. The court’s ruling could significantly impact how race is used in redistricting across the South—and potentially give Republicans an advantage if Section 2 is weakened or struck down.
Trump also suggested the GOP could benefit from improved economic conditions, citing large-scale investments he’s attracted that are expected to kick in by mid-2026.
“I won’t have anybody on the Federal Reserve that, when you have good news, that means you automatically raise interest rates through the roof in order to kill inflation,” Trump said.
While the economy was consistently one of Trump’s strongest issues during his first term, recent polling shows that confidence has slipped. Rising unemployment, sluggish job growth, and tariff-related tensions have led to voter unease. His current approval rating averages -9.3 percentage points, according to RealClearPolitics.
Still, Trump expressed optimism.
“I think by the time we have to talk about the election, which is in another few months, I think our prices are in good shape,” he said.
“I’ve created the greatest economy in history. But it may take people a while to figure all these things out. All this money that’s pouring into our country is building things right now—car plants, AI, lots of stuff,” he added. “I cannot tell you how that’s going to equate to the voter. All I can do is do my job.”
Trump and his campaign team have made clear he intends to be heavily involved in helping Republicans hold the House.
Asked whether he would have done anything differently in his second term, Trump replied: “Overall, no. More money is invested in the United States than any country in history. Stock markets hit all-time highs. I closed the border.”
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