The level of public support for President Joe Biden is experiencing a rapid decline, leading to a state of concern within the White House due to the proximity of the upcoming 2024 presidential election.
The recent polls conducted by The New York Times and Siena College, which were released throughout the weekend, indicate that in the states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania, former President Donald Trump, the prominent contender from the GOP, outperforms Biden. However, Biden is projected to secure a victory in Wisconsin.
In the 2020 election, Biden barely won those six swing states.
According to a report by Axios, poll results indicate that President Biden is facing a significant challenge regarding his support among black and Hispanic voters, which is described as a “growing race problem,” The report further suggests that this decline in support among these voter groups is “an alarming, re-election-threatening, full-blown crisis for the White House.”
According to Axios, the Times survey reveals a significant decline of 33 points in Biden’s popularity among nonwhite voters compared to the levels observed in 2020.
In contrast, it is noteworthy that Trump garnered a combined support of 22 percent among black voters, a demographic that has historically exhibited strong allegiance to the Democratic Party. The Times characterized this as “a level unseen in presidential politics for a Republican in modern times.”
According to Axios, in the realm of politics where Democrats typically have a 30-point advantage over their opponents among Hispanics, Biden’s lead among this demographic has shrunk to single-digit figures in all six of the crucial swing states.
The publication posited that concerns related to economic matters are influencing voters, with reference to Biden’s stance on fossil fuels, which is perceived to have negative implications for Hispanic voters in terms of job losses, and the escalating costs that are rendering vehicles and homes unaffordable, which is seen as a significant factor for many black voters.
While it is widely acknowledged that polls conducted a year prior to an election are not particularly reliable in predicting voter sentiment in the subsequent months, Axios has observed that the significant legislative measures passed during the period of Democratic power in Congress have failed to influence voters. Consequently, the Democratic party finds itself perplexed as to what strategies can effectively attract the support of these voters.
The polling conducted by The Times/Siena indicates “Discontent pulsates throughout the Times/Siena poll, with a majority of voters saying Mr. Biden’s policies have personally hurt them. The survey also reveals the extent to which the multiracial and multigenerational coalition that elected Mr. Biden is fraying.”
According to The New York Times, “In a remarkable sign of a gradual racial realignment between the two parties, the more diverse the swing state, the farther Mr. Biden was behind, and he led only in the whitest of the six,”
According to the findings, voters expressed a preference for competence, as evidenced by the survey results. When respondents were asked about the impact of each candidate on their lives, Trump received a 17-point edge for being perceived as helpful, whilst Biden faced an 18-point loss for being perceived as detrimental.
Spencer Weiss, a 53-year-old resident of Pennsylvania who had previously supported Biden in the 2020 election, expressed concerns about the current state of global affairs under the Biden administration.
“The world is falling apart under Biden. I would much rather see somebody that I feel can be a positive role model leader for the country. But at least I think Trump has his wits about him,” Weiss admitted.
A total of 3,662 registered voters were questioned via telephone by The Times between October 22nd and Friday. The survey has a margin of error of ±1.8 percentage points for the entire population of registered voters, which subsequently increased to a range of 4.4 to 4.8 percentage points at the state level.
Similar patterns were observed in a recent poll conducted by ABC News/Ipsos, wherein a mere 23 percent of respondents expressed the belief that the country was progressing in a positive direction.
The study results indicate that 49 percent of black respondents and 33 percent of Hispanic respondents expressed a positive perception of Biden. According to ABC, their exit surveys conducted in 2020 revealed that 87 percent of black voters and 65 percent of Hispanic voters expressed their support for Biden during that time.
According to a prominent pollster, the Republican primary battle has effectively concluded, with former President Donald Trump emerging as the victor several months before the commencement of the electoral process.
Furthermore, John and Jim McLaughlin assert that, based on their empirical findings, Trump exhibits robust polling performance in comparison to President Biden, so indicating a genuine possibility of his triumph in the upcoming year.
According to their article on Newsmax, “Since our last national poll, Donald Trump has gone to Iowa, New Hampshire, and to court. The most attention Joe Biden received was when he flew back and forth to Israel, where he may be talking tough while appeasing Hamas and Iran.”
According to them, “The result: President Trump destroys the Republican primary field and widens his lead over Joe Biden.”
Source: Western Journal
NY Times
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