The recent dip in Apple’s value represents a noticeable shift from its role as a dependable trade during market instability last year. The tech titan’s performance does not wholly represent the narrative of technology stocks, as the industry en masse has demonstrated a robust recovery from the significant early downturn this year. Market enthusiasts have diversified their ventures, depended more on large S&P 500 index funds and ETFs for technology investment, and rekindled their faith in tradition, with a return to historically defensive sectors.
The inclination of the tech industry to serve as a secure harbour during periods of intensified market flux, like the one witnessed during the Covid-19 pandemic, has been a significant hallmark in recent times. However, the recent downward trajectory of Apple – a symbol of stability in the tech sector – is leading to inquiries about the ongoing role of the sector as the market headliner. Apple’s performance last week underscored its newfound dynamism, exhibiting a decrease of 0.6% over two months (around 40 trading days) according to CNBC’s research, and a drop of 6% over a quarter ending on June 20, as per data from Morningstar.
The underperformance of Apple does not negate the tech sector’s resilient rebound from the jolts felt during the early 2025 tariff-induced slump. The SPDR Info Tech Sector Fund (XLK) exhibited an impressive increase of over 12% in the past quarter ending on June 20. Concurrently, the Invesco Nasdaq Trust (QQQ) staged a rally of 10% according to Morningstar, nearly doubling the return of the S&P 500 Index over the corresponding period.
Apple, in recent years, has often been viewed as a near facsimile of a bond within the equities market. The recent deviation in Apple’s performance is the largest when compared to its own sector fund since December 2002, as per CNBC research. Furthermore, Apple is currently the only one among the ‘Magnificent 7’ tech stocks to have recently traded below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages.
As market oscillations continue, investors calibrate their tech sector strategies for such vicissitudes. Purchasing the broader stock market when prices are lowered has proved effective and inherently carries a tech wager. Investments in S&P 500 index funds and ETFs have seen a significant tilt towards tech stocks this year, with premier tech stocks contributing more than 30% to the index.
Against a backdrop of tariff volatility, the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) has outperformed all rival funds in terms of investor inflows. The ETF is now on track to surpass its own annual net inflows record set just last year, with the surge already at a staggering figure of $82 billion in 2025. That’s more than quadruple the next largest influx recorded for equity ETFs, which has been accrued by the Vanguard Total Stock Market Fund (VTI).
Additionally, the Invesco Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQM) and the Invesco QQQ Trust have respectively amassed roughly $9 billion and $8 billion, making them prominent entries in the top 10 list of all ETFs, in terms of inflows. The Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT) has attracted nearly $3 billion in inflows. These substantial investments on the broader U.S. stock market suggest a strong bet on the resilience of the tech sector.
Many individuals are integrating tech and AI within extensive portfolio holdings, instead of focusing exclusively on the tech sector or leaning heavily towards it. A large majority of investors are employing conventional hedging strategies to mitigate stock market risks. The preferred instruments for such strategies have been fixed income ETFs, particularly short-term bonds and notes, which offer some yield with minimal risk.
The role of the tech sector as a relative safe harbour for investors during the Covid pandemic was apparent. However, the impacts of 2020 also included a sudden surge in the reliance on technology by remote workers and students, giving rise to a distinctive boom in the tech sector. Despite significant setbacks in 2022, the sector maintains a strong growth narrative, fuelled by the rise of AI and the chip industry led predominantly by Nvidia.
The relative safety offered by large-cap tech is acknowledged, but investors have been looking for diversification benefits from more traditional defensive sectors. This includes sector ETFs covering utilities (XLU) and consumer staples (XLP), which have both narrowly surpassed the S&P 500’s performance this year and have been parallel to the tech sector in terms of year-to-date returns against a backdrop of ongoing market instability.
The current price-to-earnings ratio for the tech sector stands at 28.5, higher than the S&P 500’s ratio of 22.4. Even so, it matches that of the consumer discretionary sector and remains under the real estate sector, which currently boasts the highest P/E in the index. Yet, some market analysts view any turbulence in the market as an opportunity to purchase tech stocks.
Periods of geopolitical tensions are seen as no exception. Likewise, concerns about the sector’s valuation compared to other sectors have proven costly for those investors who shied away from tech stocks in recent years. Viewing tech through the narrow lens of valuation alone, they claim, has potentially led to missed opportunities in groundbreaking tech stocks over the past two decades.
The underlying belief rests on the premise that the market continues to underestimate the growth potential posed by the impending AI revolution. This outlook envisions any geopolitical disruptions as chances to acquire stakes in tech companies at discounted prices, a stance consistently held over the past 25 years of covering technology.
One narrative becomes clear regardless of the individual tactics adopted by investors toward tech stocks. In 2025, market participants are becoming increasingly accustomed to heightened volatility compared to just one or three months ago, demonstrating greater acceptance of it.
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