This year’s fall season is expected to see temperatures two to three degrees above the standard average for multiple regions in the nation, including New York, as per the reports from AccuWeather. Their meteorologists anticipate a quick transition from the summer’s warm air to the coolness of autumn across half the nation, primarily in the Northwestern and Midwestern territories. However, eastern coastal states such as New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, and Pennsylvania might witness sustained heat and humidity, extending the summer conditions. These climatic conditions could brew perfect situations for severe tropical storms, hurricanes, and wildfires.
Regions in Eastern Canada have already been confronting wildfires since the onset of July’s end, resulting in hazy skies and compromised air quality extending into the Northeastern zones of the U.S. Several millions of individuals residing from Minneapolis to Chicago are poised to experience multiple phases of downticks in air quality and clearer visibility due to smoke clouds from wildfires extending into the heart of the fall season.
These plumes of wildfire smoke will continue to be propelled aloft in the atmosphere by existing wind and weather patterns. Originating from the West of the U.S. and Canada, they’ll travel across the Midwest, the Great Lakes, and ultimately into the Northeastern regions. This phenomenon will result in eye-catching and photo-worthy sunsets due to the vibrant atmospheric hues created. However, alongside this aesthetic advantage, there will be recurrent episodes of diminished air quality that expose the public to various health hazards.
Specific vulnerable groups including young children, senior citizens, outdoor laborers, athletes, and individuals with respiratory ailments will be at heightened risk. The commencement of the meteorological fall occurs on the first day of September, whereas the astronomical autumn begins with the equinox at 2:19 p.m. ET on the twenty-second of September. Nonetheless, for many inhabitants of the Lower Hudson Valley, the sensation of autumnal weather might not be apparent until well into the season.
A marked persistence of warm and humid summer weather extending into the period traditionally associated with back-to-school routines has been witnessed across much of the East Coast and numerous other areas in the country. This emergence of prolonged summer heat is not an abrupt event, according to data from the National Weather Service. Over the span from 2018 to 2024, consistent increases have been recorded in the temperatures experienced from May through August, resulting in several remarkable instances of record-setting temperatures.
One such incident of record-breaking heat was witnessed in White Plains during June of 2025, which reported an average monthly temperature of 98 degrees. This exceeded the previous record set in 2021, which was a 95-degree average. The trend of escalating temperatures isn’t secluded to June alone, with an observed increase in the mean temperatures for the months of July and August as well in White Plains in the last five years.
According to the records of the National Weather Service, July of 2022 was documented as the hottest on record, with a mean temperature of 97 degrees. In the period between 2023 to 2025, the average temperatures varied from 92 to 96 degrees, with 2025 being the hottest of the three years. As for November of 2024, it witnessed the highest temperature ever recorded in White Plains history, with a maximum of 79 degrees compared to the customary 69-degree average.
The transition to colder weather in the Northeast is predicted to transpire towards the end of October to the early parts of November. However, softer temperatures are projected to persist in the Southeast. Accuweather anticipates that colder weather with a chance of snow flurries could grace the Lower Hudson Valley by mid-November.
Forecasts also suggest an elevated risk of tropical storms and hurricanes during this period. It’s expected that a consistent flow of warm and moist air from the Gulf is likely to keep surging into the central part of the United States this fall. Upon clashing with the descending cool air from Canada, the nation’s center is likely to experience severe storms, even breeding chances for more tornadoes, especially around October.
The anticipated weather patterns might not directly impact New York and nearby regions. However, the Mid-Atlantic states usually experience the residues of major hurricanes as they ascend the Southeastern coast and dissipate into weaker storms. The unusually warm Atlantic waters could also contribute to increased tropical storm activity in the Caribbean and near the Southeast coast.
Earlier forecasts from a weather news organization hinted at an active hurricane season with a prediction of 13 to 18 named storms, and between seven to ten hurricanes. The commencement of this predicted trend was marked by Hurricane Chantal, which turned out to be the season’s first recorded hurricane affecting the United States, making landfall in South Carolina on July 6th.
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