Undeniably, it seems the reigning powers are in active negotiations. Indications of ongoing discussions have been made evident not only in their dealings with European allies but also with the United States. Often, the public statements of this regime tend not to mirror their actual intentions. Their real activities, carried out behind the cloaking veil of secrecy, center around dialogues — explorations of potential deals while maintaining a brash public façade.
From my perspective, it seems plausible they might secure a deal that might satisfy the expectations of, say, Mr. Trump. However, I harbor doubts regarding Mr. Netanyahu’s satisfaction with these proceedings. Faced with international scrutiny and internal pressures, compounded even by rising casualty numbers, Mr. Netanyahu might eventually concede that a period of peace, no matter how brief, is unavoidable.
In my view, however, the longevity of any deal struck by this regime is heavily questioned. I suspect that following the immediate period after any agreements, there may be significant political turbulence in Iran, particularly centered around the once avoidable, now realized, war. Criticisms will likely be directed at the regime for not being supportive enough — of its own people, let alone any external parties.
Prior to joining this conversation, I happened upon a rather provocative statement from Mr. Rezaee, the long-standing commander of the IRGC. He revealed that knowledge about an imminent Israeli attack was in their possession for weeks. Subsequently, they took action to safeguard their enriched uranium and all other vital equipment from the sites Israel intended to attack.
In my opinion, that’s an incredibly reckless assertion and its veracity is highly questionable. Questions will inevitably arise, querying the regime’s support for its own people. If, indeed, they had the foresight of an assault, why hadn’t they prepared protective measures for Iranian civilians? Foreseeing an attack for months while neglecting the safety of their citizens propels the populace’s opposition towards the regime.
Take a look at the women’s movement in Iran for instance, who have effectively pushed the regime to retract its stance on compulsory hijab. Over recent months, the country has witnessed numerous strikes. With each passing day, individuals raise their voices against the current state of governance.
Despite the opposition lacking organization, a large majority of people ardently express their desire for drastic change. Exhausted and frustrated, they emphatically reject the current regime. Concurrently, however, they also yearn for an end to the bombings.
The number of those advocating for the continuation of attacks, leading to the loss of innocent lives, is quite meager based on my interactions. The cease of such attacks will eventually occur, and hopefully sooner rather than later. Following that occurrence, the regime will undoubtedly be subjected to a barrage of queries.
Such questions will pertain to Mr. Khamenei, whose political influence, to my observation, appears to be rapidly dwindling. The future of his regime seems unsteady, irrespective of whether they manage to broker a deal.
His dogmatic practices, antisemitic sentiments, antagonistic claims against the alleged Zionistic rhetoric, aspirations for war and threats of destroying Israel, all point towards an impending expiration. Each of these elements are starting to become echoes of the past.
In conclusion, the current political situation in Iran is highly complex. There is a significant disparity between the regime’s public demeanor and its actions behind closed doors. The regime’s pursuit of foreign deals amidst such intense socio-political climate adds further layers of uncertainty.
The reactions of global players like Mr. Trump and Mr. Netanyahu are equally unpredictable. With mounting internal and external pressures, the future of the regime’s leadership stands on shaky ground. Irrespective of whether a deal is established or not, it seems inevitable that its days are numbered.
Public sentiment in Iran suggests a desire for change, safety, and peace. There’s a sense of exhaustion among the populace with respect to the current state of affairs and an underlying demand for accountability from their leaders. This, in combination with the rise of movements like the women’s rights movement, points towards a potential shift in the realm of Iranian politics.
It’s clear that key figures like Mr. Khamenei are under scrutiny. The elements of dogmatism, antisemitism, and war rhetoric that characterize his regime are facing growing opposition. Thus, regardless of the outcomes of the ongoing negotiations, it seems inevitable that a significant political shift is on the horizon.
Ultimately, the future of Iran is clouded in uncertainty. With an outspoken regime, a disgruntled populace, changing societal norms, and international pressure, it’s difficult to predict what will unfold. What seems almost certain, however, is that the current regime’s practices and ideologies will soon be relegated to the annals of history.
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