The main event at UFC on ESPN 72, often referred to as UFC Vegas 109, features a thrilling middleweight clash between Roman Dolidze and Anthony Hernandez. This five-round showdown, hosted at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, is sure to set pulses racing. The early stages or prelims kick off at 4 p.m. ET followed by the main card commencing at 7 p.m. ET. The crucial face-off between Dolidze and Hernandez is expected to get underway at about 9:45 p.m. ET.
The combatants for the night present some impressive records; Roman Dolidze claims a 15-3-0 record while Anthony Hernandez counters with 14-2-0. Dolidze, after facing back-to-back decision losses to Marvin Vettori and Nassourdine Imavov, has accomplished three consecutive victories, even settling scores with Vettori in their last encounter at a Fight Night at the UFC’s Apex.
Among his recent accomplishments, Dolidze scored a significant first-round win against Kevin Holland at UFC 307, taking him down with a KO/TKO. However, this was the only stoppage within the scheduled time in his last five meetings, indicating a shift towards longer endurance contests for the Georgian fighter.
Anthony Hernandez is on an equally impressive run, currently riding a wave of seven consecutive victories. His winning streak includes a unanimous-decision triumph over Brendan Allen at a Fight Night hosted in Seattle towards the end of February, which was their second encounter following a title match at LFA 32 in January of 2018, which Hernandez also won.
In a testament to his fighting prowess, Hernandez has managed to complete four of his last five fights before the final bell, while wrestling up to the full duration only twice in his ten bouts at UFC. Evidently, his ability to finish thus far in his UFC career has been remarkable.
When it comes to physical advantages, Dolidze has a slight upper hand with a 1-inch reach benefit. However, Hernandez not only surpasses Dolidze in terms of significant strikes landed per minute (4.50 vs 3.58) but also demonstrates superior accuracy, demonstrating a 68.56% strike success rate, as opposed to Dolidze’s 48.80%.
Hernandez’s wrestling techniques also leave a mark, with an imposing 6.27 takedown average compared to Dolidze’s 1.11. This statistical overview establishes Hernandez as an intimidating figure for his opponents. This prowess is further emphasized by Hernandez’s astonishing 1.95 submission average.
Going by the odds, Hernandez is deemed the favorite with odds of -300 (risk $300 to earn $100), while Dolidze is marked as the underdog at +240 (risk $100 to potentially secure $240). Prognosticators project the length of the match to be around 3.5 rounds with the odds for over and under that mark standing at -135 and +100 respectively.
Furthermore, the probability of the battle reaching its full duration is up in the air; experts predict the fight lasting the distance with odds at +140, while the odds for it ending prematurely stand at -190. A straightforward bet on Hernandez, given his -300 odds, could be a risky move as it requires three times the potential return to break even.
However, if you’re firmly believing in Hernandez’s dominance since joining UFC, a more specific betting strategy could ensure better returns. Betting on ‘HERNANDEZ BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION’ at even odds (+100) could prove worthwhile. Despite Dolidze’s record of never being submitted at any level, Hernandez, with an 8-1 record, will undoubtedly aim to take the fight to the mat as early and as frequently as possible.
In addition to picking the winner, predicting the manner of victory can also prove lucrative. Placing a bet on the SUBMISSION (+150) scenario, considering Hernandez’s proven dexterity in submission across multiple professional bouts, might be a wise move. Dolidze, on the other hand, while never submitted before, is not particularly known for his ground game.
If the thrill of a high-risk, high-return bet tempts you, consider staking ‘HERNANDEZ BY SUBMISSION IN ROUND 2’ (+1000) or ‘HERNANDEZ BY SUBMISSION IN ROUND 3’ (+1100). True, you may forfeit one of the stakes if Hernandez employs his submission skills in the second or third round but the payoff could be a tenfold increase if that does occur. It might just be worth taking the gamble.
An even-odds bet (+100) on the fight ending before 3.5 rounds — the UNDER 3.5 ROUNDS stake — can also present solid returns if you’re anticipating an early finish. It’s an enticing offer that you might want to consider if your instincts indicate a quick wrap-up to this thrilling fight.
The post Thrilling Middleweight Clash at UFC Vegas 109: Dolidze Vs Hernandez appeared first on Real News Now.
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