The vice-president, Kamala Harris, appears to be making headway in the forthcoming US presidential election, as per a recent Telegraph poll focused on swing states. Despite weeks of relentless progress by Donald Trump, Harris seems to be gaining ground in crucial battlegrounds capable of securing her a spot in the White House after the November election. Conducted by Redfield & Wilton Strategies, this Telegraph survey examined seven key swing states, projecting Harris as the potential victor in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan, earning her the 270 electoral college delegates.
The election process requires a minimum of 270 delegates to secure the presidency, putting Harris in a position for a tight win over Trump. According to polls, Trump would be able to gain 262 delegates. Harris being on a similar trajectory as Joe Biden in 2020, appears to be banking on the midwestern Rust Belt states for her supporters. Trump, on the other hand, is expected to have the Sun Belt swing states of Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina under his belt.
Harris and Trump are battling it out with an equal share of the vote – 47 percent each – in Nevada. Based on the assumption that the other 43 states would vote as they did in the 2020 election, the analysis of the results predicts a second term for Trump in North Carolina. However, The Telegraph’s post-Democratic National Convention poll reveals a two-point drop for Trump since their last survey.
Poll results indicate that Arizona, a state that Biden managed to secure in the last election, has Harris lagging behind Trump by just one point. Notably, Harris has managed to close in on Trump’s lead in several swing states following Biden’s announcement to retire from the presidential race on July 21. Most states showed Biden with a net negative approval rating, except for Georgia, where Harris sports a positive rating.
Voters across all surveyed states deemed the economy as the most significant issue impacting this year’s race. The poll also showed that almost half of the voters believe their financial situation has worsened over the past year. Harris, however, despite promises of a $5 trillion increase in taxes, comprising hikes in capital gains and corporation taxes, and modifications to rules on hefty inherited assets, has surprisingly managed to retain a positive rating.
According to her, these tax changes would only affect a small fraction of the wealthiest Americans. However, the voters seem to have a different take. Polls indicate that voters from five out of the seven states put more faith in Trump’s handling of the economy, while voters in Georgia and Nevada, states where Trump is projected to win, surprisingly prefer Harris for their economic future.
Interestingly, the majority of voters in all states seemed to favor ‘the Democratic position’ on the economy, even though they professed higher trust in Trump. When it comes to immigration, voters across all seven states demonstrated a preference for ‘the Republican position’. The results hint that Trump still possesses a clear path to the 270 electoral college votes he needs for victory if he claims Pennsylvania and the states of North Carolina and Georgia, where he is leading.
Pennsylvania, a state secured by Biden in 2020, has emerged as a crucial battleground for this year’s election. It has seen frequent visits from both the candidates and their running mates. Trump had an interesting incident in Butler County, Pennsylvania, in July; he experienced an assassination attempt while campaigning.
Undeterred, he has announced his plans for another rally in the area next month. Trump’s route to the 270 delegates required for victory remains possible not just through Pennsylvania, but also through victories in North Carolina and the three battleground states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Arizona. Harris, however, currently holds an advantage in two of these states.
Thus, while Harris’s progress in swing states cannot be dismissed, it also underscores that this race is far from over. The combined weight of these factors demonstrates the vitality of swing state politics in determining electoral outcomes. The influence of these states is exceptionally predominant in this election, with both candidates vying for every single electoral vote.
Though Trump has shown remarkable tenacity in holding onto his support base, Harris’s recent gains should not be overlooked. However, voters’ continuous depiction of economic issues as top concerns highlights Trump’s advantage, given his background as a businessman. Meanwhile, Harris’s endorsement of tax hikes for the affluent and her mere reliance on Biden’s 2020 Rust Belt states are strategies that might not ensure her a smooth ride to the White House.
As the election season heats up, voters continue to grapple with their choices. Is Trump’s ‘America First’ philosophy the path they want to tread again? Or will they be swayed by Harris, who has yet to prove she can deliver the change she promises? From the tightening polls and shifting swings in battleground states, it’s evident that the country stands at a crossroads.
In the political landscape of this impending presidential race, the notion ‘expect the unexpected’ rings particularly true. While the swing state polls suggest an edge for Harris, the tangible resonance of Trump’s policies, like immigration and economy, with the general public cannot be ignored. It’s clear that, despite what polls may indicate, this race remains a heated contest right up until Election Day.
Trump Treads Sturdy Path to 270, Harris Struggles Despite Polls appeared first on Real News Now.
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