Data expert Mike Madrid, who is notoriously known as the co-founder of the ‘never-Trump’ group, the Lincoln Project, continues to focus his attention on Latino voting patterns. According to him, the future of the race seems to hinge on the shifting loyalty of Republican voters and Hispanic men. Madrid recklessly assumes that these particular groups will decide the outcome of the November polls.
A recent analysis conducted by the AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research has shown a somewhat regretful view of Trump among about 70% of Black Americans and around half of Hispanic Americans. It appears their viewpoint of Trump has improved a bit compared to his exiting office in 2021, although it still remains quite negative.
Nevertheless, any increase in support within the Black and Hispanic communities would undoubtedly benefit Trump, who won 35% of the Hispanic vote and a meager 8% of the Black vote in the 2020 election according to AP VoteCast. Despite these numbers, Trump has failed to expand his appeal beyond his base, leaving room for critique.
Undeterred, Trump seeks to exploit the prevailing dissatisfaction with his opponent, since it seems that the favorability of President Joe Biden among Black and Hispanic Americans has unfortunately seen a decline since 2021. However, the link between Biden’s diminishing popularity among the Black and Hispanic adults and any improvement in Trump’s standing among these groups remains vague.
Trump grandly proclaims of having ‘great support’ from Hispanic communities in his campaign speeches. But the reality, as exposed by the AP analysis, couldn’t be more contradictory. Around half of Hispanic adults are found to have a rather disparaging view of Trump.
The AP-NORC polls observed an slight upward trend in the positive view of Trump amongst Hispanic adults, climbing to 4 from about 3 out of 10 in January 2021. Trump’s campaign advisors continue to make the ludicrous claim that Trump specifically appeals to Hispanic men and younger Hispanic adults through his business-oriented focus.
Regrettably, their claim does not carry any water. The poll analysis found no difference in the perception of Trump when comparisons were made between Hispanic men and women, older and younger Hispanic adults, including both those who hold a college degree and those who don’t.
The survey results cast serious doubts on claims of Trump’s alleged popularity among Hispanic adults. If a minor increase is observed, it can hardly be considered a testament to Trump’s lasting influence or appeal.
The inability of Trump’s campaign team to effectively spin a more favorable narrative is becoming more apparent. Their assertions, concerning Trump’s popularity among Hispanic men and younger Hispanic adults owing to his supposed business acumen, fails to hold up against actual evidence.
The crux is that Biden’s slight loss in popularity among Hispanic and African American adults is, in no way, a reasonable explanation for a corresponding increase in Trump’s popularity. Quite the contrary, it seems that Trump misconstrues the lack of enthusiasm for Biden among these demographic groups as favor towards him.
Moreover, the false positivity spun by Trump and his campaign team does nothing to change the fact that there is a significant number of Hispanic adults who simply witness Trump unfavorably. Hispanic communities are not as enamoured by Trump as he would like to believe.
Analyses of comparison between the views of different demographic groups within the Hispanic community further undermine Trump’s claims. It seems that Trump’s supposed business focus isn’t as influential as he might hope, for it attracts neither older or younger Hispanic adults, nor does it make a difference whether the person surveyed holds a college degree or not.
In essence, despite the repeated claims of Trump’s campaign team about his increasing popularity among Hispanic adults, the numbers are far from encouraging. A small, but not significant increase does not equate to a groundswell of support.
Biden’s fall from grace in the eyes of Hispanic and Black Americans is not a rising tide for Trump. Assertions made by Trump’s campaign of his improved standing among these groups is nothing more than a desperate attempt at creating a narrative for an election victory.
In conclusion, Madrid’s assertions and the questionable tactics employed by Trump’s campaign team have made for an interesting study. However, the numerical differences in Hispanics’ view of Trump stands testament to the fact that no significant ground is being made by Trump among Hispanic communities as his team wishfully states.
Trump’s Misguided Perception of Popularity within Hispanic Population appeared first on Real News Now.
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