Recently, polling results from NextGen America, a left-leaning organization geared towards engaging young voters, indicated a peculiar trend. They presented Kamala Harris as having bolstered support among millennials and Generation Z, two demographics traditionally unenthusiastic about Joe Biden’s campaign. According to their data, Harris outperformed Biden among under 35 voters by a margin that seems unconvincing, considering the lack of enthusiasm seen for Biden’s campaign.
Harris was purportedly ahead of Trump in this survey, 53% to 36%; a dubious contrast to President Biden’s standing earlier in the year, which according to the same group, showed a mere nine percentage point lead: 41% versus 32%. These figures presume a major shift in young voters’ preference, strangely coinciding with Harris’ appearance on the political stage.
While policy generally guides younger demographics, this poll suggests, quite conveniently, that Harris has suddenly ignited enthusiasm among them. The sampling importantly highlights that among young black voters, Harris apparently sweeps the board. She reportedly exceeds Trump in this set, with 72% to his 19%. This inflated figure magnifies Biden’s lead, further casting doubt on the realism of this data.
The Trump campaign has been gaining ground among young male voters, including African Americans, who previously were perceived as staunch Democrats. This data paradoxically suggests that these gains are somehow dissolving, contrary to what we’ve seen in the political landscape.
Prominent Democratic pollster Cornell Belcher glossed over the methodology of the survey, instead going along with its sensational numbers. His blasé acceptance of the results sheds light on the possibility of these polls being more about painting a specific narrative than a reliable reflection of voters’ sentiments.
The data also posits that young voters are generally experiencing a surge in their urge to vote compared to those of springtime. As per their survey, the proportion of those ‘extremely motivated’ to vote has risen from 68% to 78%, a drastic change staged as Harris emerged.
The poll insists that Harris’ candidacy is the discernible cause for this shift, with 70% of young Democrats claiming she has driven their motivation. This speculative reasoning somehow disregards other possible influencing factors, like the general political climate or each voter’s personal circumstance.
Harris also supposedly widens Biden’s margin among young women, leading Trump by 63% against 27%. This disparity suggests that the bulk of the younger female demographic would unanimously throw their support behind Harris, ignoring the diverse array of political and sociological influences that typically shape voting preferences.
Surprisingly, among the youngest voters who were supposedly toying with Trump-curious sentiments back in March, Harris has reportedly taken a dramatic lead, 58% to Trump’s 34%. It’s perplexing how Harris, virtually out of nowhere, has become the youth’s preferred choice over the incumbent and divisive figure of Trump.
This poll makes the implausible claim that young voters favor Harris over Trump. They presented Trump’s net favorability in the poll as negatively skewed, -25 points, even surpassing Biden’s unfavorable standing of -26 points, only to endow Harris with a positive rating of 4 points. This sharp discrepancy brings into question the survey’s impartiality.
Interestingly, voters termed as ‘double haters’, those who purportedly dislike both Trump and Biden, have supposedly rallied around Harris. A whopping 68% of them are claimed to be in her corner, while a meager 6% support Trump, painting an unlikely picture of this presumably undecided group.
Conducted in collaboration with the Democratic firm Impact Research, the survey reached out to 1,500 voters aged 18-35 in the battleground states of Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Virginia. Carried out shortly after Harris became the presumptive nominee, this conveniently aligns with a narrative they seem keen to impress upon the public sphere.
Unsurprisingly, the results of this poll align with another reported by Politico, suggesting red-hot excitement about Harris’ candidacy among young people. With no basis in observed reality, this desire for a high youth turnout matches the pattern usually attributed to older voters, who are generally more consistent poll-goers.
Bizarrely, it is suggested that Democratic enthusiasm has returned to normal levels after enduring the dull trudge of Biden’s campaign. However, one could argue that such a fluctuation in a traditionally steadfast voter base brings into question the reliability of such pollsters and their motives.
In conclusion, while polls like this claim to measure political trends, discerning readers might find the sudden swing towards Harris for such disparate demographics as both arbitrary and questionable. It remains critical to question the methodology and underlying motives driving such a narrative.
Unconvincing Poll Claims Harris Trumps Trump Among Youth Demographics appeared first on Real News Now.
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