A recent survey depicts former President Donald Trump exhibiting a smile. Based on recent findings from a study conducted by PRRI Research/Ipsos, it is observed that former President Donald Trump is currently outperforming President Joe Biden in several crucial swing states, approximately one year prior to the next 2024 election.
According to a report from Breitbart News, the results of the poll indicate that in a national two-person contest, Biden has a slight advantage over Trump, with 48 percent of respondents favoring Biden compared to 46 percent favoring Trump. Additionally, 6 percent of respondents expressed no preference for either candidate.
“However, Trump has a clear advantage over Biden in key swing states such as Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, leading Biden by a difference of six points—49 percent to the 80-year-old’s 43 percent,” the outlet added, citing the survey’s results.
Prior studies have also indicated that Trump is ahead of Biden in the crucial swing states.
A recent survey conducted by Bloomberg/Morning Consult examined the opinions of voters residing in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The findings of this survey indicated that Donald Trump held a lead of 4 percentage points over Joe Biden. This lead was attributed to a prevailing sentiment of disdain among voters towards the vice president’s management of the economy.
According to recent polling data, President Trump currently holds a 5-point advantage over former Vice President Biden in the state of Georgia, a 4-point advantage in Arizona, a 2-point advantage in Wisconsin, and a 1-point advantage in both Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Based on the survey data, it is evident that Biden now holds a three-point lead over Trump in Nevada, while the two candidates are in a closely contested race in Michigan.
In the seven swing states, a significant proportion of voters, specifically 49%, had a negative perception of the economic impact of Bidenomics. The word employed by the White House to characterize Vice President Joe Biden’s economic program is being referred to.
Within the seven aforementioned states, a significant proportion of undecided voters, specifically 46%, hold the belief that Bidenomics has adverse implications for the economy. Conversely, 41% of these voters either possess insufficient knowledge regarding this economic policy or maintain a neutral stance on the matter.
The survey reports that 14% of respondents who said they would vote in the 2020 presidential election now say they will support Donald Trump, are unsure, or won’t cast a ballot at all.
While 91% of Trump supporters in 2020 stated they would vote for Trump once more, just 9% of them said they would support Joe Biden in the 2024 presidential election.
2024 GE: PRRI/Ipsos (conducted 8/25-30, released today)
Biden 48% (+2)
Swing States (AZ, GA, NV, MI, PA, WI)
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 25, 2023
Despite assertions from some of his opponents that Trump cannot defeat Biden, Trump’s team has not wasted any time in highlighting the most recent survey that shows the former president leading in swing states.
The Biden campaign expressed greater skepticism, citing the midterm and special elections held in the previous two years, in which Democrats outperformed predictions, as proof that polls don’t always accurately reflect election results.
“Predictions more than a year out tend to look a little different a year later. Don’t take our word for it: last year, Bloomberg, who published today’s poll, predicted a ‘100%’ likelihood of a recession, only to say days ago that the U.S. economy is strong and “defying the odds,’” Kevin Munoz, a Biden campaign spokesperson, said in a statement. “Or a year out from the 2022 midterms, when they similarly predicted a grim forecast for President Biden.”
It is highly likely that Biden, who is running for reelection, will be the Democratic nominee in 2024, while Trump is leading the Republican primary field by double digits in practically all state and national polls. In actuality, novelist and talk radio presenter Larry Elder, a fellow Republican, withdrew from the contest on Thursday and endorsed Trump.
According to polling data from Echelon Insights in July, Trump was leading his presumed Democratic opponent in a number of battleground states.
According to the survey, 48% of participants in swing states said they would most likely or definitely vote for Trump, while only 41% said the same about Biden. The Washington Examiner stated that even while Biden is only slightly preferred by likely voters overall—43% favoring him over 42% for Trump—the Republican front-runner might garner 270 Electoral College votes by winning the swing states.
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